Annual pay grew slower in pivot counties between 2016 and 2019: Real average annual earnings in pivot and other counties, over 2013–2016 and 2016–2019
| Pivot to Trump | 2013–2016 | 2016–2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Pivot counties | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Other counties | 4.0% | 3.1% |
Notes: Results are weighted by average total county-level votes in the last three presidential elections. Unweighted results are similar: wage growth in pivot counties fell from 4.8% to 2.7%, and in other counties from 3.6% to 3.3%.
Source: Authors’ analysis of county-level QCEW annual average pay and presidential election returns.