Annual pay grew slower in pivot counties between 2016 and 2019: Real average annual earnings in pivot and other counties, over 2013–2016 and 2016–2019

Pivot to Trump 2013–2016 2016–2019
Pivot counties 4.3% 2.2%
Other counties 4.0% 3.1%

Notes: Results are weighted by average total county-level votes in the last three presidential elections. Unweighted results are similar: wage growth in pivot counties fell from 4.8% to 2.7%, and in other counties from 3.6% to 3.3%. 

Source: Authors’ analysis of county-level QCEW annual average pay and presidential election returns.

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