Year-over-year growth in wages among nonfarm employees

Date Actual Autopilot projection
Mar-2007 3.44%
Apr-2007 3.13%
May-2007 3.53%
Jun-2007 3.61%
Jul-2007 3.25%
Aug-2007 3.35%
Sep-2007 3.09%
Oct-2007 3.03%
Nov-2007 3.07%
Dec-2007 2.92%
Jan-2008 2.91%
Feb-2008 2.85%
Mar-2008 3.04%
Apr-2008 2.89%
May-2008 3.07%
Jun-2008 2.67%
Jul-2008 3.05%
Aug-2008 3.33%
Sep-2008 3.28%
Oct-2008 3.32%
Nov-2008 3.50%
Dec-2008 3.59%
Jan-2009 3.58%
Feb-2009 3.43%
Mar-2009 3.28%
Apr-2009 3.37%
May-2009 2.93%
Jun-2009 2.88%
Jul-2009 2.69%
Aug-2009 2.44%
Sep-2009 2.44%
Oct-2009 2.53%
Nov-2009 2.15%
Dec-2009 1.96%
Jan-2010 2.09%
Feb-2010 2.09%
Mar-2010 1.81%
Apr-2010 1.81%
May-2010 1.90%
Jun-2010 1.76%
Jul-2010 1.85%
Aug-2010 1.75%
Sep-2010 1.84%
Oct-2010 1.93%
Nov-2010 1.79%
Dec-2010 1.74%
Jan-2011 1.92%
Feb-2011 1.83%
Mar-2011 1.83%
Apr-2011 1.87%
May-2011 2.04%
Jun-2011 2.13%
Jul-2011 2.30%
Aug-2011 1.95%
Sep-2011 1.94%
Oct-2011 2.07%
Nov-2011 1.98%
Dec-2011 2.07%
Jan-2012 1.79%
Feb-2012 1.79%
Mar-2012 2.14%
Apr-2012 2.09%
May-2012 1.74%
Jun-2012 1.96%
Jul-2012 1.69%
Aug-2012 1.86%
Sep-2012 1.99%
Oct-2012 1.51%
Nov-2012 1.94%
Dec-2012 2.11%
Jan-2013 2.06%
Feb-2013 2.19%
Mar-2013 1.88%
Apr-2013 1.97%
May-2013 2.14%
Jun-2013 2.17%
Jul-2013 2.04%
Aug-2013 2.26%
Sep-2013 2.08%
Oct-2013 2.25%
Nov-2013 2.20%
Dec-2013 1.98%
Jan-2014 2.02%
Feb-2014 2.23%
Mar-2014 2.14%
Apr-2014 2.01%
May-2014 2.13%
Jun-2014 2.00%
Jul-2014 2.09%
Aug-2014 2.21%
Sep-2014 2.04%
Oct-2014 2.03%
Nov-2014 2.03%
Dec-2014 1.86%
Jan-2015 2.19%
Feb-2015 1.93%
Mar-2015 2.22%
Apr-2015 2.26%
May-2015 2.30%
Jun-2015 2.09%
Jul-2015 2.21%
Aug-2015 2.24%
Sep-2015 2.32%
Oct-2015 2.56%
Nov-2015 2.39%
Dec-2015 2.52%
Jan-2016 2.51%
Feb-2016 2.38%
Mar-2016 2.45%
Apr-2016 2.61%
May-2016 2.52%
Jun-2016 2.64%
Jul-2016 2.76%
Aug-2016 2.55%
Sep-2016 2.75%
Oct-2016 2.74%
Nov-2016 2.65%
Dec-2016 2.85%
Jan-2017 2.56% 2.7%
Feb-2017 2.84% 2.73%
Mar-2017 2.63% 2.76%
Apr-2017 2.51% 2.78%
May-2017 2.46% 2.81%
Jun-2017 2.54% 2.84%
Jul-2017 2.64% 2.87%
Aug-2017 2.64% 2.89%
Sep-2017 2.79% 2.92%
Oct-2017 2.36% 2.95%
Nov-2017 2.43% 2.98%
Dec-2017 2.50% 3.00%
Jan-2018 3.03%
Feb-2018 3.06%
Mar-2018 3.09%
Apr-2018 3.12%
May-2018 3.14%
Jun-2018 3.17%
Jul-2018 3.20%
Aug-2018 3.23%
Sep-2018 3.25%
Oct-2018 3.28%
Nov-2018 3.31%
Dec-2018 3.34%
Jan-2019 3.36%

The target is nominal wage growth consistent with the Federal Reserve Board's 2 percent inflation target, 1.5 percent productivity growth, and a stable labor share of income. Wages are for nonfarm employees.

Source: EPI analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics' Current Employment Statistics public data series

View the underlying data on epi.org.